Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 46

Severe Weather in United States

CarrollUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 19 May 2026 at 03:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 50 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 3 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 27 April 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued May 18 at 10:16PM CDT until May 18 at 10:45PM CDT by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 4 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 70 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)46 / 100
Our confidence70%
Coordinates39.4860, -93.6620
Nearest CityLiberty (70 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-05-19T03:16:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d1c519c2ea6888981a0ba8b6f9d84c1f

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescCaldwell, MO; Carroll, MO; Livingston, MO; Carroll, MO; Ray, MO
HeadlineTornado Warning issued May 18 at 10:16PM CDT until May 18 at 10:45PM CDT by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
Expires2026-05-18T22:45:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d1c519c2ea6888981a0ba8b6f9d84c1f40c81430.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.30dec7eb5324fd48c596ec04b57fa8561a4af7c2.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude66
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City2 NNE Courtney
Iem CountyJackson
Iem StateMO
Iem WfoEAX
Iem RemarkPWS measured 66 mph wind gust.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_G_40.140_-93.870_1779157440000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779157440000,"latitude":40.14,"longitude":-93.87},{"id":"iem_G_39.360_-94.350_1779158160000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779158160000,"latitude":39.36,"longitude":-94.35},{"id":"iem_G_39.180_-94.380_1779158700000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779158700000,"latitude":39.18,"longitude":-94.38}]

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 46/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.